Monday, May 19, 2008

Dismantling the Party for a Victory

Today, I had a revelation. Hillary Clinton wants to go to the primaries. I tried desperately to figure out why this would be. I mean honestly, she cannot win. It would take a miracle and a super strong swing from her party to actually accomplish this goal. Mr. Obama has the nomination in hand. So why go all the way? It will only hurt her because the Democrats would blame any loss in November on her.

That is when it dawned on me. Democrats are Americans, and Americans have notoriously short memories. Indeed much like goldfish. Okay, here's what will happen. Clinton will face off against Obama. She is going to push him further and further into the left. She will do this by painting him as a lefty and also trying to "out-left" him. Like a game of chicken, both are going to be hurtling and hurtling closer to a precipice of left-ism.* The reason for this is that both candidates need to have the approval of their party's base. Left by himself several months ago Mr. Obama could've gotten both the base and the vast American moderates handily. It is now up in the air. Mr. Obama will have to swerve, after Ms. Clinton's inevitable exit, back towards moderatism in order to win the general election.

It is hard to know if this will be possible since Clinton has wrapped herself in a mantle of populism. (And not the good kind from the turn of the century, the one that panders to the average person whispering honeyed words into his or her ear.) She has deprived Mr. Obama of a very crucial group of people especially, namely, the Reagan Democrats. She has divided the party between what she erroneously portrays as his Harvard snobbery and her down-home charm. It is really sickening. It is like how Alexander Hamilton was portrayed as an elitist and Thomas Jefferson as a man of the people. When in reality Mr. Hamilton was a person who tried to elevate his fellow countrymen, just as he had elevated himself from poverty and obscurity; while Jefferson rested upon, not his laurels, but the laurels of greater people in his feudal estate of Monticello.

Mr. Obama has worked with the poor in intercity Chicago; while Hillary has been married to a president. If we were a developing South American quasi-dictatorship, than I would say this is to be expected, but unfortunately we are the greatest nation in the world with the richest history of democracy.

So what, she can't win the nomination. Obama will go into the election without the support that we would expect the Democrats to have. And that is where Clinton has laid the trap. It is a win-win for her. If Obama wins in November, then all is well. The Democratic party will completely ignore what happened all through the summer. No big deal. However, if Obama loses, then she will be able to say "I told you so" to all her doubters and to the Democratic party. She is creating a myth (just as she has about all her victories this primary season). She will then be able to be a stronger candidate the next time around.

This is possible because the Democratic leadership is extraordinarily weak. (Just look at how the super-delegates haven't backed candidates en mass. Even as things look inevitable, they do not dare risk looking like failures.) It is also a weak confederation rather than a strong coalition like the Republican party.

In four years' time, if Obama doesn't win the election, Clinton will create a myth that the Democrats lost their way and backed Obama when they should've backed the heir apparent, namely, Hillary R. Clinton. And that is what this is all about for Ms. Clinton: entitlement. Her precious nomination was challenged by another person. So, she cried in New Hampshire because it was all slipping away from her. And the women thought she was crying because the "big bad men" had ganged up on her. So she ran with it, pushing forward on the worse parts of human nature: victimhood, solidarity with a group, and a touch of racism.

So with Mr. McCain gobbling up the independents and even Reagan Democrats, Mr. Obama is fighting a two-front war. On top of that he is having to placate his own party, a job he should not have to do at all. He has to babysit the Democratic elite and keep the far left happy, while Clinton carves out his voting blocs and delivers the nomination to McCain, knowing that he will not be strong enough in four more years. Then she will have neutralized threats like the upstart Obama and the Republican party. After this, she will cobble together a coalition through empty promises and half-truths and dub it "the third way."

I am not a conspiratorial person, but I know what I have seen from Mr. Clinton. I know she is of the same ilk. I also know her promises are not legit. I know her half truths and lies to get her out of trouble. Revelations, however, are usually not some fitful dream, but based on facts and past observations.


* Do not assume that because I talk about "left-ism" or absolute "left-ism" I do not have certain left leaning feelings. I am for a lot of the policies on the left. However, they are trying to be cartoon versions of their party and not real live human beings. That is what the Clintons always have been though.

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